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Well, that's certainly a puzzle. Do you get the same when you download https://broth.itch.ovh/install-itch/windows-386/_25/unpacked/default directly ?

Also, which country is that from? (VPN-less and VPN). What does the network look like? Is it possible anyone on your network (ISP, etc.) is trying to disrupt SSL traffic? Asking because this is the first report I'm seeing of this.

I've also just experienced this issue while attempting to update the itch.io application on my Windows 10 computer.  I'm attempting from Illinois in the USA using Comcast.

I doubt anyone is attempting to disrupt SSL traffic on my network... But, I'll continue looking into that.

There's also the distinct possibility of our CDN provider messing up SSL on occasion... Now that you mention it, it wouldn't be the first time