Three in a row??? That is… extremely bad luck. That's what, 1 in 75 125? I thought I got some bad Fate rolls but you might have me beat.
Remember the danger does not have to come directly from war, it can be any secondary effects of a time of strife and hardship. Illness, starvation, people stealing from each other, etc. If you see other people suffering but you're fine, that's danger from afar. Odds might still need tweaking though. Not sure I'm happy with 2hi in a location without fighting.
Looking forward to hearing more about your war!